Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 185.124847 215.058700 249.598815 292.704216 345.480504 408.539194 490.410631
2025-08-03 146.391839 184.088169 232.220245 299.341370 392.413545 519.846545 712.869036
2025-08-10 122.637842 162.583285 217.216565 299.601383 424.751018 614.960937 941.321083
2025-08-17 107.706929 148.824485 208.217609 303.686232 460.291052 721.014800 1222.300428
2025-08-24 95.428715 136.301165 198.008562 302.580986 485.684533 815.859286 1520.198153
2025-08-31 86.064681 126.480070 189.885105 302.480146 511.624263 917.845952 1876.025242
2025-09-07 79.424849 119.825499 185.507831 307.418396 547.144476 1048.347315 2359.416042
2025-09-14 70.877430 108.980875 172.560124 294.490714 544.773048 1098.624354 2672.145273
2025-09-21 65.669139 103.024409 167.106690 294.419217 568.352817 1214.397861 3234.176524
2025-09-28 61.544302 98.415102 163.363866 296.886263 597.820625 1354.568179 3969.148315
2025-10-05 60.193550 98.450420 167.996857 316.990505 672.485046 1641.746257 5461.173640
2025-10-12 58.583188 97.809367 171.213392 334.643261 746.326245 1961.373072 7442.987918
2025-10-19 54.827068 93.217404 166.931349 336.846100 786.733295 2217.683107 9600.022442
2025-10-26 52.011656 90.154202 165.436653 345.615824 849.661651 2595.072213 13169.972090
2025-11-02 48.756670 85.872059 160.825042 345.993356 889.051815 2916.166235 17188.469557
2025-11-09 46.231007 82.747865 158.229909 350.886657 944.543571 3346.974788 23421.160746
2025-11-16 43.496032 78.915962 153.587020 349.564165 979.976765 3722.082364 30674.322104
2025-11-23 41.124170 75.594771 149.664555 349.443509 1020.134339 4160.275088 40958.712133
2025-11-30 39.371760 73.394021 148.017480 355.355800 1085.079940 4799.727557 58718.682967
2025-12-07 36.457457 68.469914 139.460333 339.887383 1063.716242 4924.748778 68555.414364
2025-12-14 34.715380 65.927424 136.290332 339.801919 1104.276847 5490.490146 94642.555535
2025-12-21 33.285561 63.941252 134.236896 342.751491 1159.403726 6232.230702 138216.971562
2025-12-28 33.037356 64.542722 138.627082 366.828068 1319.226573 8025.359207 278062.738669